Back in the day, American schoolchildren studied “civics” —the history and workings of our democracy.
Curricula often included the formative influence of “the world’s first democracy of the ancient Greeks.”
Thirty years ago, the role of American civic education became less important, competing with new
priorities for better science and math, and facing curricular debates over new historical interpretations of
the nation’s past. Meanwhile, study of democracy’s Greek heritage similarly slipped into a lower
classroom priority. Read the full article here.
Author: Brook Manville
The Civic Bargain on Substack
Brook writes regularly, connecting the findings and ideas of the book to contemporary renewal of America’s democracy.
Renewing the Civic Bargain
This article was originally published by the Princeton University Press.
Public statues falling everywhere. Robert E. Lee, Christopher Columbus, Thomas Jefferson, and more—memorialized leaders yanked to the ground, no longer heroes to angry crowds demonstrating this summer for racial justice. So which bronze effigies deserve to be (literally) knocked off their pedestal? Or, perhaps less clear, what happens after that? It’s easy enough to decry a general, or statesman or explorer’s historical sins with today’s sharpened retrospection: but what kind of leaders should replace the fallen? Should our public spaces still be graced with grand effigies of leaders at all? (President Trump has meanwhile pondered whether his own likeness should be added to Mount Rushmore).
Expect the broader debate about celebrating—or not celebrating—particular leaders to rage on, raising ever more inflamed emotion. For a cooling pause, and some scholarly perspective, I reached out to Cornell professor Barry Strauss, an esteemed author of page-turning studies of many historical leaders (most recently Ten Caesars: Simon & Schuster, 2019). Our conversation focused on two questions: What can we learn from past civilizations about erecting public monuments to leaders? And how can such lessons inform America’s future commemorations?
Patterns Through History
Strauss first cautioned: “Every civilization has its own political values—lessons about monuments must be contextualized. But there are some common patterns. Also, we need to look beyond statues. Through history leaders have been promoted by whole systems of images and rituals: ceremonies, coins, religious buildings, different forms of art, education.”
As we proceeded, the discussion yielded several insights:
1. Autocracies and democracies monumentalize leaders differently—but always to influence a public audience. Professor Strauss contrasted civilizations like pharaonic Egypt and imperial Rome vs those of ancient Athens or America’s republic: in the former, awe-inspiring projection of a larger-than-life ruler vs in democracies, celebration of distinguished citizens who triumphed serving the people. “But in both cases, you still see promotion of certain heroic values—e.g., strength, courage, or perhaps mercy or duty; and an effort to elevate the leader to a higher plane. In autocracies, statues communicate a mixture of divine reverence and fear; democratic nations tend to inspire more human admiration. But for both the message is always educational—shaping opinions through public images and symbols.”
2. As the politics and values of a nation change, so will its monuments. Thus the central question of today’s debates in America: are we in the midst of a transformation that calls for new approaches in choosing leaders to celebrate? Or are today’s demonstrations more ephemeral, unlikely to affect enduring ideas of historical heroes (Confederate generals perhaps excepted)?
“It’s too soon to know,” Strauss warned. “But ancient Rome has some lessons about how shifting values can play out over time. Early Roman civilization was small and rough: there were few public statues, but instead elaborate funerals for members of the aristocratic families that controlled the state. Later, when Rome grew through conquest, public statues of successful generals started to appear, enhanced by other hero-promotion, like triumphal parades, and god-like images of leaders on coins—a practice Julius Caesar adapted from Alexander the Great in Hellenistic Greece.”
“But when the Emperor Augustus ended the Roman civil wars, he deliberately transformed the cult of warrior personalities, shifting his own public image towards “peaceful divinity” and also endorsing family and more traditional Roman values. The reliefs of his famous Altar of Peace were a brilliant blend of old and new, divine and human, and men buttressed by strong women—signaling his wish for a new era of the imperial culture.”
How will America communicate its own transitions? Will America someday have its own Augustus to help us on our way?
3. Abstraction can sometimes be more powerful than celebrating individual leaders. “The Great Pyramids were a monumental symbol of the strict hierarchical power of ancient Egyptian kings—built by thousands of workers who owed labor to an omnipotent pharaoh. But they were also a public boast to instill cultural pride, like America landing a man on the moon.”
“Consider also classical Athenians, which celebrated the civic dignity of their democracy: sculpting images of anonymous citizens in procession on parts of the great Parthenon; or, in another famous relief, depicting the demos symbolically—the common people as a wise man, crowned by the god of Democracy itself.”
4. Monumental messages can be subtle or even ambiguous. Iconoclastic attacks on contemporary statues may miss the deeper history of their intended messages: “Alexander the Great enhanced his public charisma by managing minute details in all his images, like a modern consumer brand: his hair always windswept, no beard (unlike most Greek men)—indicating a vigorous and eternally young ruler.
He also ennobled particular lieutenants with their own statues, signaling the value of royal loyalty. He was relentless in his messaging.”
Historical monuments can have multiple meanings. “Many Civil War Confederate generals were memorialized in racist support of Jim Crow laws. But some monuments were also dedicated in the spirit of reconciliation, echoing Lincoln’s hope of ‘malice towards none.’” Consider also the silent message of non-monuments—who is and who is not being commemorated: “After the American Revolution there were no statues erected of loyalists who had supported the Crown, even though many were once distinguished citizens. And post WW II Italy is a story of commemorations that should have been removed but weren’t: unlike Nazi monuments almost universally destroyed in Germany, some Italian fascist monuments were sometimes left standing. You can still see some today.”
5. Judge public monuments in the context of the broader national narrative. On the eve of the American Revolution, rabble-rousing patriots in New York pulled down a gilded statue of King George III— a rejection of kingly power of the sort that led to our war of independence. But at the time, nobody knew if and when a new American democracy would be born. But it was, and thus the story of toppling King George can today be added to our national narrative. And of course, so was the other George (Washington) who fought the war and then became our first president.
Today, the second George is now under attack for himself owning slaves: are we on our way to another revolution, that will somehow explain our historical past with a different and more relevant narrative?
Professor Strauss commented with some appropriately sober academic judgment: “We can’t predict the future, but we should honestly confront the reality of today—America is clearly having a debate about the story of its history, and ultimately the story of America itself. It’s been going on since the 1960s, and we’re not near any resolution yet. We shouldn’t be surprised—our society has gone through huge change—greater social freedom for many constituencies (people of color, women, gay people, etc.), lots more immigration and new values, more social inequality. There’s also an ongoing conflict between older generations and the values they hold dear, and a rising younger generation that sees our world very differently. Controversies about statues and leaders are ultimately just signals of deeper clashes about our national story.”
So Where Do We Go From Here?
I closed by pressing this Cornell historian a bit more—what’s the right way to find our new national story, and agree the right heroes to celebrate therein?
He first offered some sound procedural suggestions (forming a diverse and multi-generational, multi-local commission, facilitating a national conversation, blending expert opinions with those of everyday citizens, etc.) But his final thoughts were wisest of all: “We have to engage many different opinions—but ultimately find some common thread, a shared unity that ties us together as a national community. Our future story should combine the best elements of the past, with more forward-looking ideas—respecting the valued core of yesterday but also informed by real innovation now underway. The Romans built a thousand-year civilization on that basis. There’s no reason we can’t reconceive our democratic society the same way.”
Originally published on Forbes.com
Friday, 9:30 pm, another humiliating workday. Boss mocked your client presentation—then four-letter insulted you in front of colleagues. Come 4:30 pm, he threw you a “little weekend project,” due Monday morning.
Back home, ready to scream, you head to the kitchen: “Please oh god, let there be malt whiskey.”
Tonight, consider a less inebriating way to “get a little perspective” about your boss from hell. Banish your sorrows with Josiah Osgood’s fun and instructive How To Be A Bad Emperor: An Ancient Guide To Truly Terrible Leaders (introductory essay plus texts, translations, from the ancient Roman biographer, Suetonius).
Take a breath. Things could be worse. Imagine if you worked for some cruel and depraved emperor from Roman history.Consider Caligula (AD 12-41). This tyrant reveled in humiliating rivals (e.g. extorting sex from their wives) and brutalizing august Senate elders (forcing them to honor a horse as their consul, and to run behind the emperor’s chariot). Caligula’s nightly paranoia was to lie in bed, plotting false accusations against his countless enemies. Rome sighed in collective relief when a few of his body guards dispatched him with loving swords.
Or how about reporting to Nero (AD 37-68)? Notorious for murdering his wife, mother and hundreds of Christians, this creature also demanded that subordinates ooh and aah for his operatic songs (yes, while Rome burned).
Or imagine a boss like Emperor Tiberius (AD 14-37): a craven scoundrel who enriched himself with stolen citizen fortunes, chased carnal pleasures in Capri while ignoring repeated public crises, and proudly proclaimed that “as long as people obey me, I take joy in their hatred.”
Beyond imperial antics, Roman civilization also offers some positive wisdom. That empire endured many chaotic bosses, but still kept all the operational machinery whirring for centuries. Some workaday professionals clearly figured out how to survive the monsters in charge. I asked Professor Osgood to reflect on Roman lessons for coping and prospering if you work for a boss both loathed and feared.
“Much is just common sense,” he began. “But there are also timeless insights in the stories of well-intentioned people serving awful leaders.”
Our discussion surfaced five career-enhancing suggestions:
1. Understand the risks and rewards of your professional aspirations. Do you have the stomach for a heartless supervisor? If you’re ambitious, there will always be one or two along the way, as you climb the ladder. Osgood explained why the risk increases as your career progresses—drawing from ancient Rome. “Working for the Emperor—essentially the CEO—was the ultimate prize: like today, a route to glory, wealth, and more prestigious marriages. The competition to join imperial service was fierce—which also made the man at the top the fiercest of all. Rising in the ranks always enters you into more stressful arenas.”
Own what every ancient go-getter knew: you have to steel yourself for the professional dangers and personal costs of some horrific boss in your future. It’s just part of the career-building game.
2. Accept assignments but keep learning and performing. The most effective leadership development derives from experience in different jobs—but only if you work harder and smarter with each new post. The more you grow, the greater your value—even to future bosses from hell. Increasing skills become a protective asset.
The Georgetown professor invoked another Roman text: “Tacitus’ Agricola, a biography of a successful imperial statesman, reminds us that nothing builds your career faster—or better insulates you from reproach—than developing your capabilities and continuously improving. Agricola was first sent by Nero to help pacify the unruly British province. He turned the difficult commission into a learning opportunity. Working under experienced generals, he year by year cultivated essential knowledge about waging war and commanding soldiers. It eventually made him invaluable. He took less abuse from volatile emperors, because they needed him.”
3. Align yourself with the fundamentals of strategy and values. Beneath every bad boss lies an organization with tangible goals and its own cultural values. Anchor yourself to those, to help withstand the gales of a stormy overseer. Osgood again bridged to an ancient example: “Agricola’s success was buttressed by his steady focus on traditional Roman ways and empire-building. In Britain he resisted personal luxury and enrichment which was the norm of provincial generals. He also consolidated military victories by importing Roman institutions and schooling the locals in Latin. He shrewdly kept furthering the civilization for which his boss emperors wanted to be known.”
4. Reach for the sky—but not too high. “Never look better than your boss”— sage advice today, and no less for ambitious Romans. Jealousy is a dangerous human emotion—especially in your supervisor. Strive to contain it.
First, have some empathy for the boss himself: jealousy springs less from vanity than fear. Professor Osgood underscored that with another Roman insight: “There was no law of succession for emperors, so anyone could potentially usurp—or kill— them. They had reason to be paranoid, and not surprisingly, many lashed out when they saw rival talent rising.”
“Note, therefore, the contrarian wisdom of Agricola. Throughout his career he tip-toed with his personal reputation. Asked to organize public games for Nero—who himself loved hosting big flashy circuses—Agricola produced events that were professional but never extravagant.”
“Under Domitian, who was a poor military leader, Agricola sent campaign dispatches that were informative, but minimized his own accomplishments. He deliberately restrained friends from boasting on his behalf. Assiduous modesty propelled his rise.”
5. Dare the tyrant only when you dare. Even if you do everything right, you’ll still come to some moment of final despair with your insufferable boss. You’re fed up and want to fight back. But before you do, press “pause”—consider what you’re willing to sacrifice. Or not. And why the confrontation.
Osgood again explained: “Many Roman statesmen reached the breaking point with cruel emperors, and then died for opposing their wishes. Today, thankfully, most of us don’t have to worry about that—but of course insubordination in a job can quickly get you fired. That can be its own existential moment in a career. History again offers some instructive insights.”
“First, know your bosses and your true worth to them, before you decide to push back. Consider the story of Marcus Agrippa. The emperor Augustus heavily depended upon this all-competent lieutenant. So occasionally, if Agrippa was unhappy with some imperial demand, he would subtly hint about retiring from service. Then, as now: if you think you’re on solid ground, be willing to walk. But weigh the risks and rewards—if you miscalculate, there’s no turning back.”
“Second, confronting a boss will be different in different moments of your career. Some Roman statesmen, in their later years, simply became more philosophical about their lives (literally “Stoic,” following the then popular school). They were not afraid to take the consequences of challenging a corrupt leader — for the greater good of the institution.”
“One famous Senator, Thrasea Paetus, rebuffed the disgraceful subservience demanded by Nero. In visible dissent, Paetus spurned both applauding the Emperor in public games, and praising him in the Senate. The emperor had him killed. But Paetus took comfort in a noble death. His bravery echoes that of whistleblowers and others who act courageously in service to someone in power—at great personal cost, for the betterment of something more important than just flattering a self-absorbed leader.”
P.S. For a more lighthearted but still historical Roman tale—with contemporary lessons about leadership, imperial power, art and romance—check out Esme von Hoffman’s charming new film, Ovid and the Art of Love (streaming on multiple platforms).
Originally published on Forbes.com
You call me the “Silent Killer.” True enough, I’ve done in almost 90,000 of you. Also murdered a big chunk of your GDP. But today I won’t be silent.
America, you ought to be ashamed of how you’ve been fighting me. I’m going to challenge you to do better—and now tell you how.
Why the friendly advice?
I enjoy the sport of our struggle. I thought I might now even up the match a little, for the next time around. And believe me—there will be a next time.
So where to begin?
First, forget the blame Olympics. Your people are in a raging but unproductive argument about who’s been most at fault for my destruction: Trump’s leadership, Obama’s poor preparations, Chinese malice. Forget the rear view mirror.
Think Differently
Instead, look now in your own mirror—and confront your democratic identity. You’re a big, complicated self-governing society—fundamentally vulnerable to my kind of attack. Your nation is open, diverse, and regionally differentiated. You love liberty in speech and action. You thrive on debate about what to do in a crisis. Compared to places like Germany and China, your complex and freedom-loving culture makes my job a whole lot easier.
Face your real strategic problem: you aren’t playing to your democracy’s strengths. Winners leverage what they do best, and mitigate the rest. Take a hint: up your game, by changing how you play it.
Five Tips
1.Depoliticize your processes of detection and action—but not too much.
You didn’t catch onto me at first, though experts warned you. You weren’t paying attention, you weren’t prepared: not enough science to understand me, nor testing to track my spread. And you still haven’t gotten serious about that. Fast and stealthy, I continue to do plenty of needless killing.
Meanwhile, you’ve made yourselves even more vulnerable—turning me into a political football. As the clock ticks, I continue to get thrown around by different factions, arguing how big a deal I might be, and whose fault is that.
America: democracy means politics—but there are two kinds. Good politics is deliberating and debating a crisis, and what to do about it. People argue, but at their best, come to better answers together.Alas, bad politics is also part of democracy. As when elected leaders drive short-term personal agendas, selfishly bypassing the common good. They downplay risk to avoid telling citizens fearsome news, or about painful solutions a crisis requires. They kick the can down the road—to get reelected before the storm hits.
How to fix that? Because we viruses can wreak such havoc, you’ve got to re-balance how your experts and elected leaders work together, to guide your people how to defend against me.
First, shore up the independence of your experts, so they can report unbiased data, and truth-tell publicly without fear of reprisal. They must be free to recommend best science and best practice. Perhaps you should re-charter your CDC (or create a dedicated pandemic advisory board) as a standalone institution: more like the Federal Reserve than a cabinet department.But don’t turn those experts into sacrosanct priests: sometimes they get it wrong. You must demand that they advise transparently, about levels of certainty, and the risks and rewards of potential courses of action. They don’t mandate policy, but work with elected leaders to help develop the best trade-offs for the nation. And there will always be trade-offs.
Good politics is part of the process: expert recommendations balanced by citizen voices—subject to debate and challenge, and accountable to civic judgment. Your elected leaders set final policy—but they too must be subject to debate and challenge, accountable to citizens. All parties must answer: how well do the solutions proposed support the long-term common good? What risks and sacrifices are we willing to endure together for that?
2. Worry less about your leaders, more about your citizens. In your hospital ERs and local communities, I hear longing for better leadership: “Where is our next FDR, to steer us through this crisis?”
Hope all you like: democracies always have leaders both good and bad. Ain’t gonna change.
Shift your focus towards the real democratic power: your citizens. Invest in the people who will choose your democratic leaders, and work with them to build nationwide pandemic defense.
Start at the bottom and ensure their basic needs—food, shelter and healthcare. My destruction falls most heavily on your poor, who disproportionately work your critical front-line jobs—and are dying at higher rates. And don’t think that today’s government relief will be enough to stem the social inequality now shredding your democratic fabric. You have to fix that too.
Next, build your citizens’ pandemic awareness—engage them honestly about what must be done to halt me (I grudgingly admire Governor Cuomo’s daily briefings).
Longer term, improve your education system. Too many of your children lack the scientific proficiency to fight future pandemic wars. Too many are ignorant of your nation’s history, and its traditions of sacrifice, empathy, and volunteerism. Build these capabilities to strengthen your future citizens’ defense.
3. Develop an integrated public health system. You have world-class hospitals, medical schools, pharmaceutical companies and research institutes. Thanks to their innovation competence, you’re now accelerating development of therapies and vaccines against me.
But I still have a big edge. Because your open, market-based society fragments the relationships among all the many players who must seamlessly work together to deliver civic health. Researchers and hospitals are under-connected with your primary care and community facilities. Add in your upside-down-incentivized insurance providers, vulnerable supply chains for equipment and medicines—so easily do I slip in and through the patchwork of it all!
For all your pathogen foes, you need a fully-integrated, more collaborative system that harnesses all assets smoothly, continuously learning and taking action to curb every new pandemic threat.
4. Renew the advantages of your federalism.
Your federalist system, a great asset of your democracy, has lost its way. Its complementary roles and responsibilities once enabled you to be both big and small: Feds handle big investment, standard-setting, specialized assistance; states, closer to communities, provide citizen-facing services, tailored implementation of standards, customized local practices.
But now, lucky me, the system is breaking down: confusion and conflict about sourcing and allocating critical supplies; turf battles about decision-making; persisting arguments about relief funding.
Some more friendly advice: first, revisit and clarify who does what for pandemics like me. Second, take better advantage of all the experiments in your “laboratory of democracy ” that the dual system provides. If some states want to roar back to work, accepting the risks of higher death rates, stop carping and observe what really happens. Study also lessons of states who move more slowly. Dramatically expand testing, so you can honestly assess the benefits, costs, and what works and doesn’t work—and manage relaxing or tightening social distancing as data unfolds. And get yourselves on the same page about the key metrics of success—you still seem confused about all the different data being collected and evaluated about my campaign against you—especially how to measure the right balance between stopping my curse and rebuilding your livelihoods.
BTW, while you’re at it: why not pass a law banishing from all civic discourse the phrase “I told you so?”
5. Don’t miss the opportunity of this crisis—to prepare for the next one. Anytime some national disaster hits, my human hosts vow to fix mistakes and do better in preventing and managing next time around. But inevitably, all is quickly forgotten. Will this crisis be different for you?
Well, I’m skeptical. But let me finish by spooking you to reach for a higher standard.
You may end up beating me, but other deadly pathogens will darken your future. And some will be even more lethal than Covid-19. Because, unlike me, they won’t be accidental. They will be engineered by malicious human foes.
Foreign enemies have been inspired by your clumsy struggle with me. They see that America the Great is now surprisingly vulnerable to a pandemic. They will soon enough come after you—with weaponized mutations. Trust me, pal: build up your democratic strength now—or say goodbye to your lovely and ornery land of the free.
Originally published on Forbes.com
Two major stories emerged from last week’s White House coronavirus briefings. The first chronicled President Trump’s attempts to preempt governors’ decision-making authority for lifting stay-at-home restrictions. The governors (and Constitution) won the argument, though Trump countered with a storm of tweets to stoke local political pressure for more rapid “liberation.”
Meanwhile, another set of headlines: the president’s Task Force issued new guidelines for “Opening America.” Mr. Trump had promised a major plan developed by some 200 leaders from across America, to support his vision for taking the nation back to work: but the guidelines—a simple framework of “gated phases” — were a far cry from that. Less detailed than existing FEMA and CDC plans, these guidelines also punted on scaling up testing, linking results to specific actions, how to pay for the implied operations, or explaining how phases might evolve as new information and techniques come on stream.
Shifting The Spotlight
But these thinnish guidelines may be more “feature than bug.” The framework’s vague simplicity affirms the president’s concession to let governors decide when to end the business and social shutdowns. More important, the spotlight now shifts to a more promising resource for inventing our post-Corona lives—the emerging network of front-line local leaders, state officials, medical practitioners, researchers, business owners and everyday citizens. Right now, growing numbers of people, in the best American tradition, are pragmatically solving multiple problems spawned by the pandemic. As they increasingly collaborate across boundaries, they are implicitly evolving a regionally-tailored set of plans for “a new normal.”
We’re looking at the best bet for successfully navigating a phase II Corona transition.
How should we support such a network?
Hedging The Bet
First, acknowledge that people do need to get back to work. Federal relief dollars will only flow so long, and full-on shelter-in-place policies cannot be sustained endlessly. Essential questions are not “whether?” and “why?” to reopen, but “when?” and “how?” And “with what kind of regional and situational differences?” Let’s trust the network to figure that out.
Next, abandon political forensics about past blame. We can’t invent the new normal via a zero-sum trench war of freedom warriors vs scientifically-cautious officials. Reopening will demand difficult choices for everyone—with differential risks and sacrifices, including some resurgent death rates. Proven therapies and vaccines still remain in the unknowable future.
Abandon also the politically convenient axiom that “no one must choose between saving lives and freeing the economy.” Reopening America hinges on exactly such choices. Embrace the problem-solving network to accelerate innovation, to manage the inherent trade-offs. The network must also forge democratic consensus for action plans and schedules for different populations across communities.
Principles For Network Effectiveness
Betting on the network calls for all of us to do more: to participate in its work where we can, and to press elected officials to make collaborative connections more effective. A few principles drawn from large-scale organizational learning can guide us:
1. Keep extending the network and developing trust. The bigger the network, the richer the potential for breakthrough solutions. But scale without trust fast erodes progress. Trust is not about liking other people—it comes from shoulder-to-shoulder work together, on common challenges, without ego or ulterior motives.
Good news, we can build on network growth underway. The National Governors Association (chaired by Republican Larry Hogan and Vice-Chair Democrat Andrew Cuomo) has been developing a knowledge-sharing exchange for coronavirus action, spawning state to state collaborations and shaping a clearer partnership with the federal government. Two local sub-groups have also formed, one among six eastern states and another of California, Oregon, and Washington, each developing regionalized approaches to re-opening their economies. As other communities also develop plans, expect to see more “living experiments”: how to re-imagine, restructure, and creatively balance risk and reward of a new normal, in schools, businesses, and public gatherings, across different parts of the country.
Add also the increasing innovation from private sector contributors . Thousands of small and larger businesses are developing faster, cheaper approaches to manufacturing masks, testing solutions, vaccines, as well as new ways to deliver consumer products and services more safely to consumers. Entrepreneurial non-profits and corporate philanthropies are also providing creative forms of support, with food banks, equipment donations, new forms of medical delivery, etc.
2. As the network grows, build shared purpose and performance goals. Once connections reach critical mass, mobilize a shared vision of success: “why are we working together, and how do we know if we are winning or losing?” More measurement of success and failure will also help clarify what processes should remain local and which must be national.
3. Develop a culture of transparency: Honest reporting of successes and challenges of performance strengthens trust. So does non-politicized analysis about why certain strategies make progress, and how transferable they are across different contexts. In general, we need less “gotcha” and “sympathy” journalism, and more analytical case studies.Finally, to repeat the now urgent chorus, more testing, testing, testing—and tracking too, so we can more dynamically adjust to ever-changing threats of the disease.
4. Empower the network to keep learning, but also to shape support from the Federal government. Experiments, lessons learned and knowledge-building are most powerfully done at the front-line—in the states, in hospitals, in businesses, in communities, in businesses, as they all wrestle with balancing risk and opportunity. But networks also need the right kind of support from a “central platform”—not top- down control, but enabling coordination.
State governors must therefore keep finding ways to forge cooperation with the Trump administration. That begins by affirming the positive contributions from the federal government—specialized medical and scientific research, funding and sourcing materials (especially foreign). But governors must also keep pushing for win-win collaborations between state and federal, where both sides must do their part: development of technical and medical standards; rationalizing purchase and allocation of supplies; collecting and communicating best practices from across the nation.
5. Create non-bureaucratic shared governance. A large network—of state, local and Federal officials, non-profit and corporate leaders, entrepreneurs, scientists, et al., — must clarify how it governs itself, without becoming a sluggish bureaucracy, or defaulting to free-wheeling survival of the fittest. A simple governance model can be built by working together to classify who owns different decisions for reopening the economy, and related protocols for what members must be consulted, informed, or encouraged to act independently.6. Celebrate collaborative excellence and challenge failing performance—for the greater good. Every one trying to get us through this mess together must learn how to accentuate the positive while also holding each other accountable for excellence. That means honest assessment of problems and how to fix them, without resorting to accusations that are personal. COVID-19 virus is about as impersonal as anything on earth—and it’s deadly effective. There’s a lesson here for everyone now fighting it.
Originally published on Forbes.com
President Trump’s daily briefings march on, treating us to graphs and projections about the medical and economic consequences of the coronavirus. Recently the president also began to opine about reopening the country for business, visibly leaning towards sooner rather than later. Last Friday, he upped the ante, saying he would shortly make “without question, the biggest decision” of his life: whether to end or prolong the current shutdown and stay-at-home guidelines. This afternoon the president upped once more, insisting the decision would be a federal government, not state-by-state, call.
Presidential prerogative or not, America is now gripped by a major dilemma: to re-stoke our economy and society but likely also re-accelerate the COVID-19 death count; or to stay the current “curve-flattening” course longer, grasping a livelihood-destroying solution colorfully described as holding your head underwater beyond final breath,in order to save your life.
Mr. Trump’s challenge is not so much “whether”—because eventually the shutdown must end—but rather when and how. The president’s two biggest questions now are about that, and justifying the choices that must be made, i.e., “what’s the strategy for ending the shutdown?” And “why should we citizens believe it’s the right one?”
Strategy Making
What, in fact, is a “strategy?” To keep it simple: “pursuing a set of intentional, coordinated actions to reach certain agreed-upon goals.” If you’ve ever developed strategy for a large, complex organization, you know how hard it can be. That said, our nation’s current lack of something comparable for comprehensively managing the coronavirus has been a fearsome disappointment.
The proverbial visitor from Mars might ask, “why, with such expertise available, has your collective problem-solving been so fragmented? Or, “why has your showpiece federalist system produced such conflicting efforts among your states and national government?”
Finger-pointing aside, we might still allow some humility about this nation’s initial response. The intensity of this virus was not adequately understood by most people at first (yes, including government officials), and it quickly overwhelmed our trusting nature and lethargic bureaucracy. The exponential crush of mortal infections has been aptly described as “a surprise storm that capsizes [your] boat” and tosses you panicking into the sea: no time for planning when all you can do is cling to a life raft and be grateful you didn’t drown right away.
But over the last several weeks, while clinging to our rafts, we’ve been steadily learning more. When will we know enough to start planning longer term? Especially because all the incoming new knowledge keeps changing our sense of the “most critical issues.” How does anyone create strategy in such shifting winds and waves?
Well, savvy executives and other professionals do it every day. Even before COVID-19, the global economy was plenty turbulent and unpredictable. The art of strategy has evolved in rapid step, following a “lean start-up approach” to meet the volatility of the new world. Gone are the old methodologies of lengthy, bureaucratic analysis and arcane logic trees. The best strategies are now built rapidly and revised iteratively, through continuous market learning: generate a hypothesis-“beta product,” quickly release and test it, learn from your frequent failures, revise and repeat the cycle—until the right model emerges and gets traction. Over time, take it to scale, but keep revising as you learn more.
Blending Old And New
This more dynamic approach also benefits from blending in some of the classic strategic discipline. For example: clarifying (and periodically updating) a vision of success; combining opportunity and cost analysis with trial and testing to prioritize the best option to reach the vision; identifying resources and accountability to scale up as tests start to succeed; establishing formal mechanisms to learn and adapt the strategy at regular intervals.
While the White House stages its daily briefings, multiple proposals for a long-term COVID-19 strategy have been bubbling up across the nation (and also across the world). Most follow one of three fundamental approaches, with varying adaptive flexibility: (i) Keep America largely shut down until vaccine/therapies are developed; (ii) Start opening, but rapidly build more medical capacity while accepting more deaths, as “herd immunity” develops; iii) A combined solution that segments populations with rigorous testing for back-to-work or quarantining/care, adjusted for demographic vulnerability and system capacity.
There are also assorted more radical approaches being proposed.
In Search Of Strategic Balance
The White House has lots of good material to start on a comprehensive, long-term strategy for all of us. The Coronavirus Task Force must start integrating the wisdom of many well-drawn ideas, while also bringing best-of-breed “lean” thinking into the mix. Our nation is overdue for a well-drawn plan for the next several chapters of managing this pandemic: a strategy for how we will find the appropriate balance between saving lives and getting back to work, and making the right trade-offs between need, opportunities, and risk. We must also hear how the plan’s design will accommodate forthcoming new knowledge and further changes in the environment. More harsh winds and unpredictable waves will come.
Civic Expectations
Finally, this nation has the right to hear a fact-based defense of the strategy to be presented—that it is indeed the right choice. It’s time for our president to shift from update briefings, and start answering the not just “what” but now also “why” and “how” strategic questions:
1. What assumptions about the disease and our economy in the coming twelve months guided the decision you are making and the strategy behind it?
2. In making the decision, what other strategic choices did you consider? What were their relative merits, costs, and potential trade-offs? How did you make those assessments?
3. What is the “vision for success” for your preferred choice—if all goes well, what can we look forward to? What sacrifices—human, economic, social—will the strategy demand of us citizens?
4. How will this strategy be implemented? Who has accountability for its rollout and success? How should we measure their performance?
5. What will this plan require of our democracy? How should states, the federal government, and citizens now work together? How will this be different from today?
6. How will this strategy adapt to new and unpredictable circumstances over time?
7. What accountability will you, as this nation’s president, personally accept for the strategy’s long-term success?
Originally published on Forbes.com
The U.S. government is now predicting a coronavirus death toll of perhaps more than 200,000 Americans—so it certainly seems we ought to be fighting this pandemic “like a real war.” Many officials, including our president, have repeatedly invoked the analogy. But what if we were going at this enemy not “as if”—but as the real thing? What would conducting an actual war against this terrifying virus look like? Because right now, with the variety of policies in this or that state, our daily doses of mixed messages in press conferences, and persisting questions about overall strategy, it still feels more “wannabe” than full-bore fight. What would it be to get deadly serious now?
I posed the question to a leader I’ve interviewed before, a man with plenty of blood-and-guts experience on literal battlefields: Retired General Stanley McChrystal, former head of the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC) in the Middle East. McChrystal successfully battled Al Qaeda for several years after 9/11, capturing or killing many of its leaders. A now- retired career military commander, he’s been described by former Defense Secretary Robert Gates as “perhaps the finest warrior and leader of men in combat I’ve ever met.”
In our wide-ranging conversation, focused on conducting “a real coronavirus war,” he articulated some key conditions and attributes, and reflected on how America could now raise its game. Seven thought-provoking insights emerged:
1. War means everyone accepting real sacrifice. McChrystal argues that our nation hasn’t really done this since World War II—giving up some freedom, money, and people willing to die for the cause. Of course, we have pockets of that now, and many people are fighting the good fight, but overall “we’ve lost our collective ability to understand sacrifice in absolute terms.”
2. Develop and agree to a strategy free of politics. It’s the nature of democracy to encourage debate, but beyond a certain point, it’s counter-productive. The general reflected on an observation once shared with him by Henry Kissinger: “Since World War II, it’s become the political norm for the opposition party to keep bludgeoning the administration—so what happens is the war policy always shifts from how to win to how to get out. We need to come together on some national decisions now.”
3. The strategy has to be “all-in.” As McChrystal insisted, “We have to stop separating the virus battle from the economic battle—they are intimately related, both part of the same war. And then we need to assemble and align every resource needed, from all sectors, and drawing upon all our talent. When we harness those together, in a unified way, we also have to be totally committed to winning, whatever it takes. In World War II, we were willing to carpet-bomb and even nuclear bomb the enemy, and have a lot of young men die. I don’t think we’ve yet made a comparable level of commitment to this coronavirus fight.”
4. Federal Leadership must take the broader view. McChrystal referenced Ben Franklin’s famous quote of “hanging together or hanging separately.” He was blunt about the current implications: “We can’t fight this war as fifty different states. The Federal government has to be bigger and more visionary, coordinating, but without micro-managing.”5. In a war, leaders owe special respect to each other, to followers and to partners. Whether at the local, state or Federal level, leaders must constantly exhibit certain critical values, to unify the effort.
“First, integrity—so people develop the trust to get on board.” Next, candor, about the existential nature of the threat: “Give the American people a true and broad enough understanding of where we stand and what we are honestly facing. Leaders will have the resources to do that, and they must take advantage of maps, graphs and other tools for their communications (as many now do).” Most important, they must demonstrate that they are putting their own heart in the do-or-die fight. “Franklin Roosevelt sincerely believed that the Great Depression would destroy the social and economic construct of America. He deeply felt—and communicated —that with the New Deal we were fighting not just for the good of the nation but also the entire world.”
6. Shift messaging towards a challenge-based narrative of the ongoing strategy. Strategy in a complex war always evolves, but McChrystal stressed that requires that “you have to keep focused on communicating the big picture. People are eager to know not just yesterday’s accomplishments, but what challenges lie ahead, and what we’re going to do to meet those challenges. They want to hear who across our broader alliance of co-fighters are making progress, and how—so they get a sense of a large-scale and coordinated battle underway. Forward-looking, fact-based but not sugar-coated reporting motivates people—but you can’t create false hope. More talented people will want to join an effort they see is gaining momentum, but they can also be inspired to help tackle the setbacks.”
7. The best strategy for a coronavirus war will build a broad network of learning and action. McChrystal concluded by suggesting that the kind of cross-boundary, agile and continuous learning network that he had once created for JSOC would suit the coronavirus war. “In the Middle East, we brought together lots of different entities (military units, CIA, other intelligence units, allies, etc.), and slowly got different silos working as a team of teams—operating as needed in their various domains, but at the same time learning together. To do that, we created cross-boundary relationships, facilitated regular and honest video briefings, and kept reinforcing a culture of knowledge-building collaboration for action.”
“I think the model could work for coronavirus—creating a more integrated and flexible network among medical people, logistics, governors, manufacturing, scientists, and the like. The Federal government can play a role in coordinating it all, and helping to flexibly setting priorities as they change—but the central group has to understand its role is about supporting and guiding the network, not micromanaging it—and certainly not publicly insulting members. In the end, leadership should aspire to make this network global—the knowledge of how to battle Covid-19 goes well beyond our own shores. If this is war, we have to rally the resources of everyone who has something, knows something, or can do something to beat the virus.”
Originally published on Forbes.com
Once upon a time, many thought the internet would spawn a digital democratic utopia: harmonious, boundary-spanning decision-making, reflecting liberty and equality in a global community of “netizens.” Today, sadly, we witness identity theft, cyber-bullying, manipulative analytics, fake news, and authoritarian surveillance— hacking elections and polarizing open societies. Social media companies are hiring thousands of editors to fight hate speech and robotic information corruption, while U.S. state election commissions are scrambling to reinstate paper ballots. Will today’s democracy survive the onslaught of technology-delivered malice?
Yes, maybe: but only if we stop blaming bits and bytes, forget about “global democracy,” and instead tackle the structural deficits of our current representative systems of national self-governance. Thus argues Dr. Roslyn Fuller, a Canadian-Irish academic lawyer and author of the new In Defence of Democracy.
This lively polemic asserts that the problem for western civic societies is not so much defending against hostile and abusive use of technology. Instead, it’s failing to use technology to rediscover what democracy should be for the modern nation state: citizens participating personally in public debate and having meaningful say in policy decisions that affect them—without the distorting and corruptible role of legislative proxies or elitist agency officials. If we’re going to defend—and keep alive—democracy today, she insists, we need a revolution: go back to what the ancient Athenians invented in the 5th century BCE, where every citizen regularly participated in discussion and voting for the laws that would steer their livelihoods and survival. Dr. Fuller believes new technology and communication tools can now provide the means to scale up for millions of people what ancient Athenians did with perhaps (at most) 50,000 citizens.
The book builds on Fuller’s earlier research, further detailing her back-to-the-future proposition. Her central premise is that any modern representative democracy— e.g. U.S. constitutional government, or Britain’s “monarch-lite” parliamentary model—will inevitably slide towards a gridlocked, gerrymandered, influence-peddled partisan morass. “The small number of seats in legislatures serving a major population means elections aren’t really representative—allowing money to grow in influence, which in turn sets up factional fighting and winner-take-all strategies. Meanwhile, what these representatives discuss is increasingly out of touch with most common people’s priorities—leading to rising frustration, disengagement, and declining voter turnout. Which then invites more winner-take-all by powerful interests and increasing partisan focus on policy that entrenches elites. To break the cycle we have to authentically give power back to the people.”
Re-imagining Reinvention
Yes it’s blue sky, and of course fraught with a host of implementation issues (e.g. levels of geographical engagement, infrastructure design, process protocols, security assurances, discussion moderation, etc.). But take a moment to consider other alternatives: what will it actually take “to fix today’s democracy?” Is limiting campaign contributions, changing the tax code, or reforming the Electoral College going to be enough to rebuild freedom, equality, and the pursuit of happiness across America?
Here are five further insights from our conversation for your own imaginative reflections:
1. Technology for large-scale, direct democracy is less about elections and more about empowering policy debate and decision-making en masse. Fuller acknowledges the problems of hacked balloting and cyber-meddling—but no election reform will solve the bigger problem of disconnected citizens working through proxies: “A few hundred legislative members or a president can be easily corrupted by rich powerful lobbies. Which now happens every day. Also, the current pace of decision-making, and the two- or four-year cycle of change in representative government can’t keep up with the global economy. Using technology to give millions of citizens direct involvement in policy-making is faster and more flexible. And lobbyists can’t bribe or intimidate the population of an entire nation state.”
2. Our corrosive political media thrives because virtual conversations are untethered from policy consequences. “Yes of course,” Fuller acknowledged, “we need safeguards against cyber-bullying and moneyed and foreign influence shaping opinion. But Facebook diatribes, Twitter wars, and cable shout-fests keep growing because people can’t turn their own strongly held opinions into action. Give citizens a real say in policy-making, and the cyber negativity will decline.”
3. Reforming democracy with technology-scaled participation requires practical citizen education. Everyone agrees that improving our political system calls for better “civic knowledge” across the population. But that can’t just be more high-school courses on “how a bill becomes a law.” Dr. Fuller argues from another lesson of ancient Athenians: “Education has to be learn-by-doing for all the citizens, all the time: participating in public debate, developing your own opinions by hearing and joining arguments, and observing the consequences of decisions—which are often painful.”
“A lot of American and European cities are successfully experimenting with this form of practical civic education with ‘participatory (or open) budgeting’—allowing citizens to debate and decide how to allocate the public money of their community. The process creates vivid civic lessons about the prioritizing and compromising necessary in a democratic society.”
4. Mass engagement could rebuild fractured communities. Fuller also argues for second-order effects of mass engagement. If millions of citizens participate in political decisions—with appropriate facilitation, rules and encouragement (including some offsetting compensation)— the process can help temper partisan divisions, and build new civic relationships. “When the outcomes of debates concretely effect people’s future, citizens learn to listen to one another, and work for solutions that everyone has to live with. They see that, instead of always pushing for ‘the scientifically perfect answer,’ sometimes accepting compromise can bring other people in, and unify support. Joining together for action strengthens community bonds.”
5. Transformation will depend on leaders with a vision for challenge and excellence. “We need a new generation of politicians who can create a positive vision of what democracy can do. A citizenry responds to challenge—like that posed by John Kennedy’s legendary speech in 1962 to America: ‘We choose to go the moon in this decade, and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard.’”
“And we also have to get away from today’s victim mentality. The ancient Greeks and Romans accomplished a lot with very little—their politicians made the higher call for excellence. Likewise, tomorrow’s leaders cannot just think about themselves. They have to inspire us with what a better democratic future means for all the citizens—and get us all involved to share the task: building a more prosperous society, with a renewed middle class, and where every individual can flourish and reach his or her full potential.”
Originally published on Forbes.com